There's something there for everyone - MOOCs, digital discrimination, a new agency, community discourse, job loss/creation .... and overall it's very underwhelming, another addition to the pile of weighty reports on AI such as that here and here and here.
Given the responsiveness of the Commonwealth government in the past it is unlikely to have much impact. It will be however fun to pull apart in the graduate Law, Innovation and Technologies unit I'm teaching this semester!
It states
Artificial Intelligence (AI) provides us with myriad new opportunities and potential on the one hand and presents global risks on the other. If responsibly developed, AI has the capacity to enhance wellbeing and provide benefits throughout society. There has been significant public and private investment globally, which has been directed toward the development, implementation and adoption of AI technologies. As a response to the advancements in AI, several countries have developed national strategies to guide competitive advantage and leadership in the development and regulation of AI technologies. The rapid advancement of AI technologies and investment has been popularly referred to as the ‘AI race’.
Strategic investment in AI development is considered crucial to future national growth. As with other stages of technological advancement, such as the industrial revolution, developments are likely to be shared and adopted to the benefit of nations around the world.
The promise underpinning predications of the potential benefits associated with AI technologies may be equally juxtaposed with narratives that anticipate global risks. To a large extent, these divergent views exist as a result of the yet uncertain capacity, application, uptake and associated impact of AI technologies. However, the utility of extreme optimism or pessimism is limited in the capacity to address the wide ranging and, perhaps less obvious, impacts of AI. While discussions of AI inevitably occur within the context of these extreme narratives, this report seeks to give a measured and balanced examination of the emergence of AI as informed by leading experts.
What is known is that the future role of AI will be ultimately determined by decisions taken today. To ensure that AI technologies provide equitable opportunities, foster social inclusion and distribute advantages throughout every sector of society, it will be necessary to develop AI in accordance with broader societal principles centred on improving prosperity, addressing inequity and continued betterment. Partnerships between government, industry and the community will be essential in determining and developing the values underpinning AI for enhanced wellbeing.
Artificial intelligence can be understood as a collection of interrelated technologies used to solve problems that would otherwise require human cognition. Artificial intelligence encompasses a number of methods, including machine learning (ML), natural language processing (NLP), speech recognition, computer vision and automated reasoning. Sufficient developments have already occurred within the field of AI technology that have the capacity to impact Australia. Even if no further advancements are made within the field of AI, it will remain necessary to address aspects of economic, societal and environmental changes.
While AI may cause short-term to medium-term disruption, it has the potential to generate long-term growth and improvement in areas such as agriculture, mining, manufacturing and health, to name a few. Although some of the opportunities for AI remain on the distant horizon, this anticipated disruption will require a measured response from government and industry and our actions today will set a course towards or away from these opportunities and their associated risks.
Development, implementation and collaboration
AI is enabled by data and thus also access to data. Data-driven experimental design, execution and analysis are spreading throughout the sciences, social sciences and industry sectors creating new breakthroughs in research and development. To support successful implementation of the advances of AI, there is a need for effective digital infrastructure to diffuse AI equitably, particularly through rural, remote and ageing populations. A framework for generating, sharing and using data in a way that is accessible, secure and trusted will be critical to support these advances. Data monopolies are already occurring and there will be a need to consider enhanced legal frameworks around the ownership and sharing of data. Frameworks must include appropriate respect and protection for the full range of human rights that apply internationally, such as privacy, equality, indigenous data sovereignty and cultural values. If data considerations such as these are not considered carefully or appropriately, it could inhibit the development of AI and the benefits that may arise. With their strong legal frameworks for data security and intellectual property and their educated workforces, both Australia and New Zealand could make ideal testbeds for AI development.
New techniques of machine learning are spurring unprecedented developments in AI applications. Next-generation robotics promise to transform our manufacturing, infrastructure and agriculture sectors; advances in natural language processing are revolutionising the way clinicians interpret the results of diagnostic tests and treat patients; chatbots and automated assistants are ushering in a new world of communication, analytics and customer service; unmanned autonomous vehicles are changing our capacities for defence, security and emergency response; intelligent financial technologies are establishing a more accountable, transparent and risk-aware financial sector; and autonomous vehicles will revolutionise transport.
While it is important to embrace these applications and the opportunities they afford, it will also be necessary to recognise potential shortcomings in the way AI is developed and used. It is well known, for example, that smart facial recognition technologies have often been inaccurate and can replicate the underlying biases of the human-encoded data they rely upon; that AI relies on data that can and has been exploited for ethically dubious purposes, leading to social injustice and inequality; and that while the impact of AI is often described as ‘revolutionary’ and ‘impending’, there is no guarantee that AI technologies such as autonomous vehicles will have their intended effects, or even that their uptake in society will be inevitable or seamless. Equally, the shortcomings associated with current AI technological developments need not remain permanent limitations. In some cases, these are teething problems of a new technology like that seen of smart facial recognition technologies a few years ago compared to its current and predicted future accuracy. The nefarious and criminal use of AI technologies is also not unique to AI and is a risk associated with all technological developments. In such instances however, AI technologies could in fact be applied to oppose this misuse. For these reasons, there will be a need to be attuned to the economic and technological benefits of AI, and also to identify and address potential shortcomings and challenges.
Interdisciplinary collaboration between industry, academia and government will bolster the development of core AI science and technologies. National, regional and international effort is required across industry, academia and governments to realise the benefits promised by AI. Australia and New Zealand would be prudent to actively promote their interests and invest in their capabilities, lest they let our societies be shaped by decisions abroad. These efforts will need to draw on the skills not only of AI developers, but also legal experts, social scientists, economists, ethicists, industry stakeholders and many other groups.
Employment, education and access
While there is much uncertainty regarding the extent to which AI and automation will transform work, it is undeniable that AI will have an impact on most work roles, even those that, on the surface today, seem immune from disruption. As such, there will be a need to prepare for change, even if change does not arrive as rapidly or dramatically as is often forecast.
The excitement relating to the adoption and development of AI technologies has produced a surge in demand for workers in AI research and development. New roles are being created and existing roles augmented to support and extend the development of AI, but demand for skilled workers including data scientists is outstripping supply. Training and education for this sector are subsequently in high demand. Tertiary providers are rapidly growing AI research and learning capabilities. Platform companies such as Amazon (Web Services) and Google are investing heavily in tools for self-directed AI learning and reskilling. A robust framework for AI education – one that draws on the strengths of STEM and HASS perspectives, that cultivates an interest in AI from an early age and that places a premium on encouraging diversity in areas of IT and engineering – can foster a generation of creative and innovative AI designers, practitioners, consultants as well as an informed society. Students from a diverse range of disciplines such as chemistry, politics, history, physics and linguistics could be equipped with the knowledge and knowhow to apply AI techniques such as ML to their disciplines. A general, communitywide understanding of the basic principles of AI – how it operates; what are its main capabilities and limitations – will be necessary as AI becomes increasingly prevalent across all sectors. The demand for AI skills and expertise is leading to an international race to attract AI talent, and Australia and New Zealand can take advantage of this by positioning themselves as world leaders in AI research and development, through strategic investment as well as recognition of areas of AI application where the countries can, and currently do, excel.
Although AI research and development will become an increasingly important strategic national goal, a larger – and perhaps more significant – goal is to ensure that existing workforces feel prepared for the opportunities and challenges associated with the broad uptake of AI. This will mean ensuring workers are equipped with the skills and knowledge necessary to work with and alongside AI, and that their sense of autonomy, productivity and wellbeing in the workplace is not compromised in the process. Education should emphasise not only the technical competencies needed for the development of AI, but also the human skills such as emotional literacy that will become more important as AI becomes better at particular tasks. In the short to medium term, the implementation of AI may require the application of novel approaches. It will be important to ensure that workers are comfortable with this.
To ensure the benefits of AI are equitably dispersed throughout the community, principles of inclusion should underpin the design of AI technologies. Inclusive design and universal access are critical to the successful uptake of AI. Accessible design will facilitate the uptake and use of AI by all members of our community and provide scope to overcome existing societal inequalities. If programmed with inclusion as a major component, we can facilitate beneficial integration between humans and AI in decision making systems. To achieve this, the data used in AI systems must be inclusive. Much of society will need to develop basic literacies in AI systems and technologies – which will involve understanding what AI is capable of, how AI uses data, the potential risks of AI and so on – in order to feel confident engaging in AI in their everyday lives. Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) and micro-credentials, as well as free resources provided by platform companies, could help achieve this educational outcome.
Regulation, governance and wellbeing
Effective regulation and governance of AI technologies will require involvement of, and work by, all thought-leaders and decision makers and will need to include the participation of the public, communities and stakeholders directly impacted by the changes. Political leaders are well placed to guide a national discussion about the future society envisioned for Australia. Policy initiatives must be coordinated in relation to existing domestic and international regulatory frameworks. An independently-led AI body drawing together stakeholders from government, industry and the public and private sectors could provide institutional leadership on the development and deployment of AI. For example, a similar body, the Australian Communications and Media Authority, regulates the communications sector with the view to maximise economic and social benefits for both the community and industry.
Traditional measures of success, such as GDP and the Gini coefficient (a measure of income inequality), will remain relevant in assessing the extent to which the nation is managing the transition to an economy and a society that takes advantage of the opportunities AI makes available. These measures can mask problems, however, and innovative measures of subjective wellbeing may be necessary to better characterise the effect of AI on society. Such measures could include the OECD Better Life Index or other indicators such as the Australian Digital Inclusion Index. Measures like the triple bottom line may need to be adapted to measure success in a way that makes the wellbeing of all citizens central.
Ensuring that AI continues to be developed safely and appropriately for the wellbeing of society will be dependent on a responsive regulatory system that encourages innovation and engenders confidence in its development. It is often argued that AI systems and technologies require a new set of legal frameworks and ethical guidelines. However, existing human rights frameworks, as well as national and international regulations on data security and privacy, can provide ample scope through which to regulate and govern much of the use and development of AI systems and technologies. Updated competition policies could account for emerging data monopolies. We should therefore apply existing frameworks to new ethical problems and make modifications only where necessary. Much like the debates occurring on AI’s impact on employment, the governance and regulation of AI are subject to a high degree of uncertainty and disagreement. Our actions in these areas will shape the future of AI, so it is important that decisions made in these contexts are not only carefully considered, but that they align with the nation’s vision for an AI-enabled future that is economically and socially sustainable, equitable and accessible for all, strategic in terms of government and industry interests, and places the wellbeing of society in the centre. The development of regulatory frameworks should facilitate industry-led growth and seek to foster innovation and economic wellbeing. Internationally coordinated policy action will be necessary to ensure the authority and legitimacy of the emerging body of law governing AI.
A national framework
The safe, responsible and strategic implementation of AI will require a clear national framework or strategy that examines the range of ethical, legal and social barriers to, and risks associated with, AI; allows areas of major opportunity to be established; and directs development to maximise the economic and social benefits of AI. The national framework would articulate the interests of society, uphold safe implementation, be transparent and promote wellbeing. It should review the progress of similar international initiatives to determine potential outcomes from their investments to identify the potential opportunities and challenges on the horizon. Key actions could include:
- Educational platforms and frameworks that are able to foster public understanding and awareness of AI
- Guidelines and advice for procurement, especially for public sector and small and medium enterprises, which informs them of the importance of technological systems and how they interact with social systems and legal frameworks
- Enhanced and responsive governance and regulatory mechanisms to deal with issues arising from cyber-physical systems and AI through existing arbiters and institutions
- Integrated interdisciplinary design and development requirements for AI and cyber‑physical systems that have positive social impacts
- Investment in the core science of AI and translational research, as well as in AI skills.
- An independent body could be established or tasked to provide leadership in relation to these actions and principles. This central body would support a critical mass of skills and could provide oversight in relation to the design, development and use of AI technologies, promote codes of practice, and foster innovation and collaboration.
