'The Fatal Failure of the Regulatory State' by W. Kip Viscusi in
William and Mary Law Review (Forthcoming)
comments
While regulatory agencies place high values on the benefits associated with the reduction in mortality risks due to regulations, these same agencies substantially undervalue lives in their enforcement efforts. The disparity between the valuation of prospective risks and fatalities that have occurred is often by several orders of magnitude, diminishing whatever safety incentives the regulations might have generated. A review of the practices by the major federal agencies with responsibility for product safety and occupational safety finds that the value placed on fatalities in agencies’ regulatory analyses can be a factor of 1,000 times greater than the magnitude of the corresponding sanctions that the agency levies for regulatory violations that led to the fatalities. The source of the mismatch between the valuation of prospective risks and fatalities that have occurred can be traced to agencies’ dated and restrictive legislative mandates. This Article proposes revisions in these statutes to create more appropriate, stronger safety incentives. Setting the pertinent price to deter excessive risks will also foster corporate risk analyses so long as companies are also provided with pertinent legal protections.
In Europe the
A common EU approach to
liability rules and
insurance for connected
and autonomous vehicles
European Added Value
Assessment
Accompanying the
European Parliament's
legislative own-initiative
report document
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Two key trends are shaping the future of personal mobility: first, a shift from human (driverdriven) to machine (driverless-supercomputer driven) control of vehicles and second, a shift from
individual to shared ownership of vehicles. This European added value assessment (EAVA)
focuses on the first trend, the shift from driver-driven to autonomous personal mobility, and
more specifically on the regulation of civil liability for autonomous vehicles (AVs) at EU level.
The main objective of this EAVA is to assess whether regulatory action on civil liability for AVs
is justified at EU level and, if so, what would be the expected benefits and costs of such
intervention. The analysis of European added value is informed by two expert studies specifically
commissioned by the EPRS: 'Socio-economic analysis of the EU common approach on liability
rules and insurance related to connected and autonomous vehicles' and 'Legal analysis of the EU
common approach on the liability rules and insurance related to connected and autonomous
vehicles'; it also draws on the results of the European Parliament's public consultation on robotics
and artificial intelligence and on publicly available statistical data and publications.
Accelerating the adoption curve for driverless or autonomous vehicles (AVs) by five years has
the economic potential to generate European added value worth approximately €148 billion. It
is therefore in the interest of the public regulator to ensure that the regulatory framework
facilitates the adoption of AVs, thus helping to generate economic value. The expert national
committees of Member States, high level expert groups set up by the European Commission, and
recently adopted European Parliament resolutions have all underlined that the liability issues
related to the adoption and use of AVs need to be clarified.
The appropriation of risks in relation to the use of motor vehicles is currently regulated by two
main EU legislative acts governing liability rules: the Motor Insurance Directive (2009/103/EC)
and the Product Liability Directive (85/374/EEC). The current EU system of appropriation of
risks related to motor vehicles generally works well and, as a comparative legal analysis suggests,
would in principle be able to deal with the introduction of AVs to the market. However, the
application of the existing rules to AVs will likely shift the existing balance in liability
distribution between consumers and producers, further accentuate existing gaps, and could
potentially contribute to legal and administrative costs in connection with uncertainties.
If the current EU framework is not adjusted, in addition to existing gaps in the current EU legal
framework, the introduction of AVs will contribute to the emergence of new gaps and legal grey
areas. This is because the current legal framework was not developed to deal with the liability
issues of AVs, which are technologically complex and stand distinctly apart from the motor
vehicles currently on the roads. Four main categories of risk relating to the liability issues raised
by AVs are likely to emerge or become significantly more prominent with the mass roll-out and
use of AVs. The new risks include: risks relating to the failure of operating software enabling an
AV to function, risks relating to network failures, risks related to hacking and cybercrime, and
risks/external factors relating to programming choices. These four issues are not at all or not
sufficiently addressed under the current Product Liability Directive - Motor Insurance Directive
framework.
If the above issues are not specifically addressed by the legislator, the current regulatory
framework will result in many uncertainties, in particular relation to the new groups of risk
identified above. In this context, it is likely that the cost of scientifically unknown risks will be
borne by the injured parties and consumers will find it increasingly difficult to claim damages.
This could ultimately lead to reduced consumer confidence in AVs and, consequently, to
slower uptake of AVs in the market.
An analysis of the gaps and limitations of the existing EU regulatory framework suggests that EU
policy needs to respond by regulating liability issues relating to the roll-out and introduction
of AVs. EU action should address three main sets of issues: first, the limitations and gaps relating
to the current framework, specifically the shift in liability between parties; second, the need to
adjust the current framework or introduce new rules to cover new risks; and third, the need to
adjust or introduce new procedural rules allowing liability to be established for damages
involving or caused by AVs.
Four policy options to address the current shortcoming of the EU liability framework are
compared and analysed: the status quo (Option 1); reform of the Product Liability Directive
(Option 2); or Motor Insurance Directive (Option 3); and the introduction of new EU legislation
and setting up of a no-fault insurance framework for damages resulting from AVs (Option 4). A
comparative assessment is made of these policy options applying seven qualitative criteria: legal
certainty, potential litigation burden, impact on innovation, impact on level of consumer
protection, political acceptance, degree of regulatory intervention needed, and degree of
dependence on soft law. On this basis it is argued that Option 4 (new EU legislation and
insurance framework) is preferable as it has the greatest potential of the four policy options to
address three sets of outstanding issues and gaps identified through comparative legal analysis.
Revision of the existing regulation and/or the introduction of additional regulation on the
allocation of risks related to AVs has the economic potential to generate European added value
that could be lost if the no-action option is chosen. The European added value generated from
the roll-out of AVs would be generated mainly by legislative measures facilitating their earlier
adoption. Further added value from EU action could be generated at the mass AV adoption stage
by measures aimed at reducing transaction and litigation costs arising from regulatory
divergences between differing jurisdictions and measures to boost consumer trust in the new
technologies.
Coordinated action at EU level has the potential to contribute further to European added value
by reducing the transaction costs resulting from the fragmentation of national legal systems
and minimising litigation costs. Insufficient coordination among several jurisdictions on the
adoption of regulatory rules enabling the testing, licensing and operation of autonomous
technologies and vehicles could ultimately lead to unnecessary barriers to the development and
deployment of new technological solutions. Clear rules at EU level would meanwhile contribute
to legal certainty and would help to avoid transaction costs arising from divergent national legal
rules.